Thursday, May 1, 2014

Thrice is Nice

1. That is a bad loss. Will the Reds beat every team that they are better than in every game that they play? No, but they can not afford to lose games like they did last night. While watching the game last night, I actually said to myself that we looked like we were the Cubs. Right about the time that Joey Votto made an error on an easy play, it started to look like we were the team from the Windy City. This team has the opportunity to still be a very good team, but there just seems to be a overwhelming sense of frustration and pressing from this ball club. Everyone seems very tight and nervous about not being able to make the play that they should make.

2. A must win series in May? It never means anything good if you are in a must win series before the calendar even reads June, but that is exactly where the Reds find themselves. Coming into the four game series at 12-15 and 7.5 games back, the Reds must take no less than 3 of 4 against the Brew Crew this weekend and that will be no easy task. The Brewers enter with an 11-2 record on the road this season while the Reds have fallen under .500 at home. If the Reds can take 3, then they still sit at 5.5 games back but with momentum and the mindset that they have beat the hottest team in major league baseball. The difference between 5.5 and 9.5 behind is not impossible to overcome in May, but it certainly isn't easy.

3. So what happens? Call me the ultimate optimist but I think Homer Bailey comes out with his best game of the season on the biggest night and gives the Reds 7 much needed innings of 1 run baseball and collects the win. The Brewers will even up the series on Friday, but no projections how because if the Reds don't win then who cares. The Reds will take the weekend and win both Saturday and Sunday behind strong pitching from Johnny Cueto and Alfredo Simon. That's a 3-1 series win and momentum heading in to Boston.

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