Friday, May 1, 2015

Browns and Bengals Go Ring Shopping

There are two different types of relationships in this world. The ones that you have after a few beverages at your local watering hole and the ones that you take home to mom and plan to spend a long time with. That watering hole relationship tends to be exciting and the talk of the town while the long term relationship is defined as safe and boring, but in the end the former tends to be filled with regret while the latter filled with success. Both the Browns and Bengals got down on one knee last night and made the right decision in proposing their allegiance to stable, intelligent and (for lack of a better term) safe and boring draft picks as opposed to the high risk/high reward options that they could’ve. This was the correct decision.

Let’s start with the Browns and their decisions last night to make sound selections, I know that’s almost impossible to believe. First off, they did not send every first pick they have for this season and next season to grab a quarterback with a few question marks (I would’ve been fine had that occurred for the record). The next opportunity to make the “sexy” pick was to take DeVante Parker at 12 but instead of using a pick to select a guy whose ability to make plays relies so heavily on the quarterback position, which we all know is not the best, the Browns went with Danny Shelton. Shelton, both an athletic and academic All-American, fills the role of run stopper that the Browns badly needed as well as being the safer selection at number 12 for a team that cannot afford to miss on many picks. Games are won and lost in the trenches, and the defensive trench for the Browns greatly improved after this pick.

Speaking of the trenches, both the Browns and Bengals used their remaining 1st round picks on the offensive line. Seems boring, I know, but productive for both teams. Starting with the Browns at 19, many people will think that Offensive Line was not a need for the Browns but once Alex Mack (who can opt out of his contract after this season) went down with injury last year, the once dominant line began resembling something closer to Swiss cheese. Cam Erving will immediately upgrade the Browns guard position and then be able to move to center if, hopefully not when, Alex Mack moves on.

Mel Kiper seems to agree, “Danny Shelton is an immediate-impact player in Cleveland. And by the way, I know some people question Cameron Erving. But when Alex Mack got hurt last year, the offense fell off a cliff, and Erving isn't just insurance, he's versatile and can start elsewhere. Man, did Cleveland get more physical.”

Following suit, the Bengals stepped up to the podium with the opportunity to select Bud Dupree from the Commonwealth from the other side of the mighty Ohio and insert an incredibly athletic, yet raw talent to their defense. Dupree has measurements that are off the charts, but is that classic “hybrid” defender that seems to have more issues than success once they make the league. The exciting pick would have been for the Bengals to select Dupree and let their fan base celebrate a “steal” of a selection, but instead they were intelligent and added an offensive tackle. Understandably, selecting a player fresh off knee injuries is not great, but selecting a guy that is not needed this season and can become a staple for your offensive line after both of your current tackles possible move on (Whitworth due to age and Smith due to expiring contract) seems to show great foresight and intelligence.


Congrats to both teams from Ohio as they decided to settle down with the safe girl, uh I mean picks, that they will reap benefits from for years to come as opposed to the exciting picks that would have seemed to be a good idea for the weekend in Chicago, but probably would have caused regret down the road in Cincinnati and Cleveland. 

Thursday, May 8, 2014

It's Draft Day

Mock Draft 5.0

It's finally the day we have all waited for!


1. Houston: Khalil Mack (Previously: Mack)


2. St. Louis: Sammy Watkins (Clowney)


3. Jacksonville: Jadeveon Clowney (Robinson)


4. Cleveland: Greg Robinson (Watkins)


5. Oakland: Mike Evans (Evans)


6. Atlanta: Jake Matthews (Mosley)


7. Tampa Bay: Blake Bortles (Bortles)


8. Minnesota: Teddy Bridgewater (Bridgewater)


9. Buffalo: Eric Ebron (Ebron)


10. Detroit: Darqueze Dennard (Lewan)


11. Tennessee: Aaron Donald (Dennard)


12. New York Giants: Taylor Lewan (Matthews)


13. St. Louis: Odell Beckham Jr. (Beckham Jr.)


14. Chicago: Justin Gilbert (Gilbert)


15. Pittsburgh: Zack Martin (Donald)

16. Dallas: Johnny Manziel (Manziel)


17. Baltimore: Ha Ha Clinton Dix (Clinton Dix)


18. New York Jets: Brandin Cooks (Cooks)


19. Miami: Ryan Shazier (Shazier)

20. Arizona: Derek Carr (Carr)


21. Green Bay: CJ Mosley (Martin)


22. Philadelphia: Cody Latimer (Latimer)


23. Kansas City: Marquise Lee (Lee)


24. Cincinnati: Kyle Fuller (Roby)


25. San Diego: Bradley Roby (Fuller)


26. Cleveland: Anthony Barr (Jean-Baptiste)


27: New Orleans: Calvin Pryor (Pryor)


28. Carolina: Kelvin Benjamin (Benjamin)

29. New England: Kyle Van Noy (Van Noy)

30. San Francisco: Morgan Moses (Kouandijo)


31. Denver: Xavier Su' a-filo (Barr)


32. Seattle: Davante Adams (Adams)

Monday, May 5, 2014

Mock Draft 4.0

It's finally draft week... feels like its taken 2 years and about 100 mock drafts to get to today. This will be my last mock draft until Thursday which will be posted right before the actual draft begins. A little different format today, as opposed to having blurbs on every player, it will simply be teams and names. 


1. Houston: Khalil Mack (Previously: Clowney)


2. St. Louis: Jadeveon Clowney (Robinson)


3. Jacksonville: Greg Robinson (Bortles)


4. Cleveland: Sammy Watkins (Watkins)


5. Oakland: Mike Evans (Evans)


6. Atlanta: CJ Mosley (Mack)


7. Tampa Bay: Blake Bortles (Lewan)


8. Minnesota: Teddy Bridgewater (Bridgewater)


9. Buffalo: Eric Ebron (Ebron)


10. Detroit: Taylor Lewan (Matthews)


11. Tennessee: Darqueze Dennard (Mosley)


12. New York Giants: Jake Matthews (Martin)


13. St. Louis: Odell Beckham Jr. (Beckham Jr.)


14. Chicago: Justin Gilbert (Dennard)


15. Pittsburgh: Aaron Donald (Donald)

16. Dallas: Johnny Manziel (Manziel)


17. Baltimore: Ha Ha Clinton Dix (Clinton Dix)


18. New York Jets: Brandin Cooks (Cooks)


19. Miami: Ryan Shazier (Shazier)

20. Arizona: Derek Carr (Carr)


21. Green Bay: Zach Martin (Gilbert)


22. Philadelphia: Cody Latimer (Latimer)


23. Kansas City: Marquise Lee (Lee)


24. Cincinnati: Kyle Fuller (Roby)


25. San Diego: Bradley Roby (Fuller)


26. Cleveland: Stanley Jean-Baptiste (Verrett)


27: New Orleans: Calvin Pryor (Pryor)


28. Carolina: Kelvin Benjamin (Benjamin)

29. New England: Kyle Van Noy (Van Noy)

30. San Francisco: Morgan Moses (Kouandijo)


31. Denver: Anthony Barr (Barr)


32. Seattle: Davante Adams (Adams)

Only 3 more days....

Thursday, May 1, 2014

Stop The Joey Votto Ignorance

Daily, heck even hourly, people can be heard saying that Joey Votto is "not playing like a guy making 20 million a year". Well, first off that statement makes zero sense because Votto is not getting paid 20 million a year, in fact he's not even close. This may be why this senseless argument is so annoying, quite often people debate Votto with misled facts and outrageous standards.

Typically, when asked what fans think Votto's stat line should be to back up his contract, fans will respond with something along the lines of, "I want the guy that earned the big money. He should be hitting 30 homers, driving in 100 runs and batting .300 for that kind of money."

The total number of times since 2010 in which a National League player has hit 30 homers, drove in 100 runs and batted .300?

7. The answer is 7, and one of those guys is Joey Votto. Let's put that in perspective and assume that each team has on average, completely a guess on this number but seems logical, 17 position players play per year throughout the season. There are 15 National League baseball teams. So, if we do some quick math that is 255 position players each season and since we looked back since 2010 that means that we looked at 4 seasons which would give us a grand total of 1,020 position players who have played in the NL since 2010. This 1,020 position players are not all unique but each season the same player is counted as 1 per season. This tells us that out of the 1,020 opportunities to hit .300 with 30 HR and 100 RBI it has been accomplished .007 percent of the time.

For those of us that are not good at math or understanding what this means, it means that to expect that stat line is not only expecting a lot from a player, it's expecting something that nearly never happens.

The next argument is that guys making money similar to Joey Votto produce at a higher level. This again is untrue. Let's take a look at the stat lines of guys that Joey Votto should be compared to considering his quality of play.

Joey Votto: .280 Batting Average .438 OBP  4 Home Runs 10 Runs Batted In  12 Million Salary

Andrew McCutchen: .286 BA  .408 OBP  4 HR  14 RBI                7.25 Million Salary
Robinson Cano:         .296 BA  .346 OBP  1 HR  12 RBI                24 Million Salary
Miguel Cabrera:        .277 BA  .320 OBP   2 HR  15 RBI               22 Million Salary
Joe Mauer:                .276 BA   .388 OBP  1 HR   6 RBI                 23 Million Salary
Prince Fielder:          .206 BA    .331 OBP  2 HR   9 RBI                24 Million Salary
Buster Posey:           .264 BA    .350 OBP   6 HR   13 RBI             12.5 Million Salary
Albert Pujols:           .279 BA     .341OBP    9 HR   23 RBI            23 Million Salary


Where does Votto rank amongst these 8 players?

Salary: 7th
Batting Average: 3rd
On Base Percentage: 1st
Home Runs: 3rd
Runs Batted In: 6th


Your move Mr. Votto is a terrible player guy.


Thrice is Nice

1. That is a bad loss. Will the Reds beat every team that they are better than in every game that they play? No, but they can not afford to lose games like they did last night. While watching the game last night, I actually said to myself that we looked like we were the Cubs. Right about the time that Joey Votto made an error on an easy play, it started to look like we were the team from the Windy City. This team has the opportunity to still be a very good team, but there just seems to be a overwhelming sense of frustration and pressing from this ball club. Everyone seems very tight and nervous about not being able to make the play that they should make.

2. A must win series in May? It never means anything good if you are in a must win series before the calendar even reads June, but that is exactly where the Reds find themselves. Coming into the four game series at 12-15 and 7.5 games back, the Reds must take no less than 3 of 4 against the Brew Crew this weekend and that will be no easy task. The Brewers enter with an 11-2 record on the road this season while the Reds have fallen under .500 at home. If the Reds can take 3, then they still sit at 5.5 games back but with momentum and the mindset that they have beat the hottest team in major league baseball. The difference between 5.5 and 9.5 behind is not impossible to overcome in May, but it certainly isn't easy.

3. So what happens? Call me the ultimate optimist but I think Homer Bailey comes out with his best game of the season on the biggest night and gives the Reds 7 much needed innings of 1 run baseball and collects the win. The Brewers will even up the series on Friday, but no projections how because if the Reds don't win then who cares. The Reds will take the weekend and win both Saturday and Sunday behind strong pitching from Johnny Cueto and Alfredo Simon. That's a 3-1 series win and momentum heading in to Boston.

Wednesday, April 30, 2014

Thrice is Nice

1. Billy Billy Billy. What a game by Billy Hamilton: two infield singles, stolen base and a home run! Oh, don't forget that he also made a great diving catch in center field. Hamilton has quietly lifted his batting average to nearly .250 with a .281 OBP, or 8 points higher than Brandon Phillips. If Hamilton can maintain a .250 average and raise the the OBP to around .300 then he is doing enough to maintain the lead off spot. Adding in plus defense and the speed on the basepaths and Hamilton could be the trigger to turn around this Reds season.

2. The difference between a single and a walk. Joey Votto appears to be forever caught in the middle of the debate over which is more important: hits or getting on base. It certainly seems like the most important aspect of any baseball player is their ability to not make outs. The game is very simple, if you team makes outs less frequently than the other team then you will win most games. Votto has established himself as the best player in baseball at not making outs. People who argue and say that he should swing at pitches out of the strike zone in an attempt to hit more doubles and drive in more runs were most likely the same people that got made that Wily Mo Pena struck out so often. If you don't make an out, you get on base, if you get on base you are more likely to score and the more you the score the more likely you are to win. Give me 9 guys who get on base at a .420 clip and I'll give you a World Championship.

3. Rick Renteria has the rain delays to thank for his ejection last night. Renteria was ejected after yelling, "That's an F'in good pitch" multiple times to the umpire. Had there been more than 1000 people remaining in the stadium the home plate umpire would most likely had heard Renteria but allowed him to continue yelling, but because it was so audible due to the lack of outside noise, he was forced to eject him. The words of Renteria are no worse than any other argument you will hear from a manager directed at an umpire, the key difference is that everyone in the stadium was able to hear it.

Tuesday, April 29, 2014

I apologize

It has been my plan to write two daily pieces and have them posted every day and then to also write additional stories on most days, but with having a job and other commitments this has become a issue so I have decided that in order to maintain some form of consistency that I will return to writing a daily Thrice is Nice to be posted each night in order to be ready for a morning read.

In addition, I will continue to write as often as I can, and most days will be able to write an additional article.

Thanks for reading and look forward to reading Thrice is Nice either late tonight or tomorrow morning!

Thanks!